What are the Odds You’ll Get Divorced?

GEO_edited-1Social scientists love to make predictions about marriage and divorce, considering every angle in their search for reliable truths. They look at smoking habits, number of children, where a couple lives, how they communicate and a myriad of other variables.
Some of their recent findings include:

1. MONEY ISSUES

The University of Virginia’s National Marriage Project found that if a couple argue about finances once a week they are 30% more likely to divorce than couples who do not. Divorce risks factors such as age and education usually correlate with poverty. Couples with no assets are 70% more likely to divorce than couples who have assets of $10,000.00 or more.

2. PERSONAL HABITS

According to the Melbourne Institute of Social Research if your partner is a smoker and you are not, you are 75 to 91% more likely to divorce than if you are both smokers.

3. ROLE MODELS

Researchers at Cambridge University found that couples whose parents had divorced were 40% more likely to end their marriages than persons whose parents had intact marriages. The study also determined that if one’s parent had remarried after a divorce, the chances of their adult child divorcing was 91% more than if the parent had not remarried. The thinking here is that divorce role models lead to “disposable relationships”.

4. RELIGION

If you are an evangelical Christian who is married there is a 26% chance you have been divorced. Amongst Catholics there is a 28% chance and among non-Christians a 38% chance. Thirty percent of atheists are likely to be divorced. These results are from the evangelical think tank, the Barna Research Group.

5. SAME SEX RELATIONSHIPS

The University of Stockholm surveyed same-sex couples in Norway and Sweden and found that 50% of these relationships would end in divorce as compared to heterosexual unions, while in female same-sex partnerships, the chances of the breakdown of the relationship, compared to straight couples was a staggering 167%. In Norway and Sweden five of every thousand new marriages are same-sex.

If you want to see what the chances of your marriage surviving are go to http://www.divorce360.com/content/divorcecalculator.aspx. For those who are thoroughly depressed after reading this data take heart and consider business Professor Aaron Levenstein’s amusing critique of statistics:

“Statistics are like bikinis. What they reveal is suggestive, but what they conceal is vital.”

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